Department of City Planning uses an estimate of 2.7 persons per dwelling unit. Therefore, between 740-1850 new units of development should be needed to accommodate projected population growth over the next 15 years. According to the New Development map on our website, we already have 2529 units of new development in the pipeline for the next few years.
In other words, new construction in this district has already exceeded new supply required to accommodate the highest estimates of population growth by nearly 40%. What will be the future of our district if we do not downzone to significantly reduce development?? Years of disruptive construction ending with hundreds of vacant luxury units? Or the Manhattanization of our quiet and stable neighborhoods?
http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/downloads/pdf/hazard_mitigation/section_3c_population_and_development_trends.pdf
Past population growth trends
Population has been relatively stable in Community District 9 from 1970 to 2000; by comparison Park Slope, Bedford Stuyvesant and North Crown Heights (Board 8) lost significant population density while Flatbush and Midwood gained.
COMMUNITY DISTRICTS
|
Total Population | Change 1970-2010 | |||||||
| 1970 | 1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | Number | Percent | |||
| M | 1 | Battery Park City, Tribeca | 7,706 | 15,918 | 25,366 | 34,420 | 60,978 | 53,272 | 691.30% |
| S | 3 | Tottenville, Woodrow, Great Kills | 72,815 | 108,249 | 126,956 | 152,908 | 160,209 | 87,394 | 120.00% |
| M | 5 | Midtown Business District | 31,076 | 39,544 | 43,507 | 44,028 | 51,673 | 20,597 | 66.30% |
| Q | 4 | Elmhurst, South Corona | 108,233 | 118,430 | 137,023 | 167,005 | 172,598 | 64,365 | 59.50% |
| S | 2 | New Springville, South Beach | 85,985 | 105,128 | 113,944 | 127,071 | 132,003 | 46,018 | 53.50% |
| BX | 10 | Throgs Nk., Co-op City, Pelham Bay | 84,948 | 106,516 | 108,093 | 115,948 | 120,392 | 35,444 | 41.70% |
| Q | 3 | Jackson Heights, North Corona | 123,635 | 122,090 | 128,924 | 169,083 | 171,576 | 47,941 | 38.80% |
| Q | 9 | Woodhaven, Richmond Hill | 110,367 | 109,505 | 112,151 | 141,608 | 143,317 | 32,950 | 29.90% |
| S | 1 | Stapleton, Port Richmond | 135,875 | 138,489 | 137,806 | 162,609 | 175,756 | 39,881 | 29.40% |
| M | 4 | Chelsea, Clinton | 83,601 | 82,164 | 84,431 | 87,479 | 103,245 | 19,644 | 23.50% |
| BX | 7 | Bedford Park, Norwood, Fordham | 113,764 | 116,827 | 128,588 | 141,411 | 139,286 | 25,522 | 22.40% |
| Q | 7 | Flushing, Bay Terrace | 207,589 | 204,785 | 220,508 | 242,952 | 247,354 | 39,765 | 19.20% |
| Q | 2 | Sunnyside, Woodside | 95,073 | 88,927 | 94,845 | 109,920 | 113,200 | 18,127 | 19.10% |
| BK | 14 | Flatbush, Midwood | 137,041 | 143,859 | 159,825 | 168,806 | 160,664 | 23,623 | 17.20% |
| Q | 14 | The Rockaways, Broad Channel | 98,228 | 100,592 | 100,596 | 106,686 | 114,978 | 16,750 | 17.10% |
| M | 6 | Stuyvesant Town, Turtle Bay | 122,465 | 127,554 | 133,748 | 136,152 | 142,745 | 20,280 | 16.60% |
| BK | 12 | Borough Park, Ocean Parkway | 166,301 | 155,899 | 160,018 | 185,046 | 191,382 | 25,081 | 15.10% |
| BK | 7 | Sunset Park, Windsor Terrace | 111,607 | 98,567 | 102,553 | 120,063 | 126,230 | 14,623 | 13.10% |
| BX | 12 | Wakefield, Williamsbridge | 135,010 | 128,226 | 129,620 | 149,077 | 152,344 | 17,334 | 12.80% |
| M | 8 | Upper East Side | 200,851 | 204,305 | 210,880 | 217,063 | 219,920 | 19,069 | 9.50% |
| Q | 12 | Jamaica, St. Albans, Hollis | 206,639 | 189,383 | 201,293 | 223,602 | 225,919 | 19,280 | 9.30% |
| Q | 10 | Ozone Park, Howard Beach | 113,857 | 105,651 | 107,768 | 127,274 | 122,396 | 8,539 | 7.50% |
| BK | 5 | East New York, Starrett City | 170,791 | 154,931 | 161,350 | 173,198 | 182,896 | 12,105 | 7.10% |
| BK | 11 | Bensonhurst, Bath Beach | 170,119 | 155,072 | 149,994 | 172,129 | 181,981 | 11,862 | 7.00% |
| BX | 11 | Pelham Pkwy, Morris Park, Laconia | 105,980 | 99,080 | 97,842 | 110,706 | 113,232 | 7,252 | 6.80% |
| M | 2 | Greenwich Village, Soho | 84,337 | 87,069 | 94,105 | 93,119 | 90,016 | 5,679 | 6.70% |
| BK | 13 | Coney Island, Brighton Beach | 97,750 | 100,030 | 102,596 | 106,120 | 104,278 | 6,528 | 6.70% |
| Q | 8 | Fresh Meadows, Briarwood | 142,468 | 125,312 | 132,101 | 146,594 | 151,107 | 8,639 | 6.10% |
| BX | 5 | University Hts., Fordham, Mt. Hope | 121,807 | 107,995 | 118,435 | 128,313 | 128,200 | 6,393 | 5.20% |
| M | 12 | Washington Heights, Inwood | 180,561 | 179,941 | 198,192 | 208,414 | 190,020 | 9,459 | 5.20% |
| Q | 5 | Ridgewood, Glendale, Maspeth | 161,022 | 150,142 | 149,126 | 165,911 | 169,190 | 8,168 | 5.10% |
| BK | 17 | East Flatbush, Rugby, Farragut | 149,496 | 154,596 | 161,261 | 165,753 | 155,252 | 5,756 | 3.90% |
| BX | 9 | Soundview, Parkchester | 166,442 | 167,627 | 155,970 | 167,859 | 172,298 | 5,856 | 3.50% |
| Q | 1 | Astoria, Long Island City | 185,925 | 185,198 | 188,549 | 211,220 | 191,105 | 5,180 | 2.80% |
| BK | 18 | Canarsie, Flatlands | 188,643 | 169,092 | 162,428 | 194,653 | 193,543 | 4,900 | 2.60% |
| Q | 13 | Queens Village, Rosedale | 184,647 | 173,178 | 177,535 | 196,284 | 188,593 | 3,946 | 2.10% |
| BX | 4 | Highbridge, Concourse Village | 144,207 | 114,312 | 119,962 | 139,563 | 146,441 | 2,234 | 1.50% |
| M | 7 | West Side, Upper West Side | 212,422 | 206,669 | 210,993 | 207,699 | 209,084 | -3,338 | -1.60% |
| BX | 8 | Riverdale, Kingsbridge, Marble Hill | 103,543 | 98,275 | 97,030 | 101,332 | 101,731 | -1,812 | -1.70% |
| BK | 9 | Crown Heights South, PLG, Wingate | 101,047 | 96,669 | 110,715 | 104,014 | 98,429 | -2,618 | -2.60% |
| M | 9 | Manhattanville, Hamilton Heights | 113,606 | 103,038 | 106,978 | 111,724 | 110,193 | -3,413 | -3.00% |
| BK | 15 | Sheepshead Bay, Gerritsen Beach | 164,815 | 149,572 | 143,477 | 160,319 | 159,650 | -5,165 | -3.10% |
| BK | 1 | Williamsburg, Greenpoint | 179,390 | 142,942 | 155,972 | 160,338 | 173,083 | -6,307 | -3.50% |
| BK | 10 | Bay Ridge, Dyker Heights | 129,822 | 118,187 | 110,612 | 122,542 | 124,491 | -5,331 | -4.10% |
| Q | 6 | Forest Hills, Rego Park | 120,429 | 112,245 | 106,996 | 115,967 | 113,257 | -7,172 | -6.00% |
| Q | 11 | Bayside, Douglaston, Little Neck | 127,883 | 110,963 | 108,056 | 116,404 | 116,431 | -11,452 | -9.00% |
| BK | 2 | Brooklyn Heights, Fort Greene | 110,221 | 92,732 | 94,534 | 98,620 | 99,617 | -10,604 | -9.60% |
| M | 3 | Lower East Side, Chinatown | 181,845 | 154,848 | 161,617 | 164,407 | 163,277 | -18,568 | -10.20% |
| BK | 4 | Bushwick | 137,902 | 92,497 | 102,572 | 104,358 | 112,634 | -25,268 | -18.30% |
| BK | 8 | Crown Heights North | 121,821 | 88,796 | 96,400 | 96,076 | 96,317 | -25,504 | -20.90% |
| M | 11 | East Harlem | 154,662 | 114,569 | 110,508 | 117,743 | 120,511 | -34,151 | -22.10% |
| BK | 6 | Park Slope, Carroll Gardens | 138,933 | 110,228 | 102,724 | 104,054 | 104,709 | -34,224 | -24.60% |
| BK | 3 | Bedford Stuyvesant | 203,380 | 133,379 | 138,696 | 143,867 | 152,985 | -50,395 | -24.80% |
| BX | 6 | East Tremont, Belmont | 114,137 | 65,016 | 68,061 | 75,688 | 83,268 | -30,869 | -27.00% |
| M | 10 | Central Harlem | 159,267 | 105,641 | 99,519 | 107,109 | 115,723 | -43,544 | -27.30% |
| BK | 16 | Brownsville, Ocean Hill | 122,589 | 73,801 | 84,923 | 85,343 | 86,468 | -36,121 | -29.50% |
| BX | 1 | Melrose, Mott Haven, Port Morris | 138,557 | 78,441 | 77,214 | 82,159 | 91,497 | -47,060 | -34.00% |
| BX | 3 | Morrisania, Crotona Park East | 150,636 | 53,635 | 57,162 | 68,574 | 79,762 | -70,874 | -47.00% |
| BX | 2 | Hunts Point, Longwood | 99,493 | 34,399 | 39,443 | 46,824 | 52,246 | -47,247 | -47.50% |
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